Palestinians in Gaza are eager to return home in a cease-fire but many will find nothing left
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Palestinians in the Gaza Strip are eager to leave miserable tent camps and return to their homes if a long-awaited cease-fire agreement halts the Israel-Hamas war, but many will find there is nothing left and no way to rebuild.
Israeli bombardment and ground operations have transformed entire neighborhoods in several cities into rubble-strewn wastelands, with blackened shells of buildings and mounds of debris stretching away in all directions. Major roads have been plowed up. Critical water and electricity infrastructure is in ruins. Most hospitals no longer function.
And it’s unclear when — or even if — much will be rebuilt.
The agreement for a phased cease-fire and the release of hostages held by Hamas militants does not say who will govern Gaza after the war, or whether Israel and Egypt will lift a blockade limiting the movement of people and goods that they imposed when Hamas seized power in 2007.
The United Nations says that it could take more than 350 years to rebuild if the blockade remains.
Two-thirds of all structures destroyed
The full extent of the damage will be known only when the fighting ends and inspectors have full access to the territory. The most heavily destroyed part of Gaza, in the north, has been sealed off and largely depopulated by Israeli forces in an operation that began in early October.
Using satellite data, the United Nations estimated last month that 69% of the structures in Gaza have been damaged or destroyed, including more than 245,000 homes. The World Bank estimated $18.5 billion in damage — nearly the combined economic output of the West Bank and Gaza in 2022 — from just the first four months of the war.
A cease-fire deal, announced by U.S. and Qatari mediators, promises to end more than a year of conflict in Gaza Strip. Some Israeli hostages would be exchanged for Palestinian prisoners under the agreement.
Israel blames the destruction on Hamas, which ignited the war with its Oct. 7, 2023, attack into Israel, killing some 1,200 people, mostly civilians, and abducting another 250. Israel’s retaliatory attacks have killed more than 46,000 Palestinians, according to Gaza’s Health Ministry, which does not differentiate between civilians and combatants but says more than half of the dead are women and children.
Israel says it has killed more than 17,000 militants, but has not provided evidence. The military has released photos and video footage showing that Hamas built tunnels and rocket launchers in residential areas, and often operated in and around homes, schools and mosques.
Mountains of rubble to be moved
Before anything can be rebuilt, the rubble must be removed — a staggering task.
The U.N. estimates that the war has littered Gaza with more than 50 million tons of rubble — roughly 12 times the size of the Great Pyramid of Giza. With more than 100 trucks working full time, it would take longer than 15 years to clear the rubble away, and there is little open space in the narrow coastal territory.
Carting the debris away will also be complicated by the fact that it contains unexploded ordnance and other harmful materials, as well as human remains. Gaza’s Health Ministry says thousands of people killed in airstrikes are still buried under the rubble.
Ailing kids wait months for Israeli permission to leave Gaza for treatment. Some die in the meantime
UNICEF estimates 2,500 ailing children need immediate evacuation from Gaza for treatment abroad amid the Israel-Hamas war. ‘These children will die.’
No plan for the day after
The rubble clearance and eventual rebuilding of homes will require billions of dollars and the ability to bring construction materials and heavy equipment into the territory — neither of which are assured.
The cease-fire agreement calls for a three- to five-year reconstruction project to begin in its final phase, after all the remaining 100 hostages have been released and Israeli troops have withdrawn from the territory.
But getting to that point will require agreement on the second and most difficult phase of the agreement, which still must be negotiated. The Israeli Cabinet was voting on the first phase on Friday.
Even then, the ability to rebuild will depend on the blockade, which critics have long decried as a form of collective punishment. Israel says it is needed to prevent Hamas from rebuilding its military capabilities, noting that cement and metal pipes can also be used for tunnels and rockets.
Israel might be more inclined to lift the blockade if Hamas were no longer in power, but there are no plans for an alternative government.
The United States and much of the international community want a revitalized Palestinian Authority to govern the West Bank and Gaza with the support of Arab countries ahead of eventual statehood. But that’s a nonstarter for Israel’s government, which is opposed to a Palestinian state and has ruled out any role in Gaza for the Western-backed authority.
International donors are unlikely to invest in an ungoverned territory that has seen five wars in less than two decades, which means the sprawling tent camps along the coast could become a permanent feature of life in Gaza.
Krauss writes for the Associated Press.
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