Hurricane season approaching
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WEATHER TIDBITS
Another Greenbelt soaker arrived early Saturday dropping abut 2/3 of
an inch of moisture fattening our season total to 16 to 17 inches
depending on where you live in Laguna.
It’s the wettest May since 1998 (2.14 inches), before that, 1963
(1.71 inches).
It’s our wettest season since the historic 1997-98 season.
2002-03 -- so far 16 inches plus
2001-02 -- 4.42 inches
2000-01 -- 15.14 inches
1999-00 -- 11.57 inches
1998-99 -- 9.11 inches
1997-98 -- 37.27 inches
1996-97 -- 15.38 inches
1995-96 -- 11.68 inches
1994-95 -- 24.05 inches
1993-94 -- 11.14 inches
1992-93 -- 27.36 inches
1991-92 -- 21.00 inches
So eight of our last 12 seasons have been above normal. May
averages only 2/10 of an inch.
Our water temps are inching back toward the 60-degree mark.
Thalia Reef is going off at 3:15 p.m. here on Monday. A severe
angle 305 degree northwest wind swell at 3 to 4 feet is perfect for
Thalia’s “corner pockets.” It’s glassing off -- this mornings surface
morning sick.
Cinco de Mayo:
Salida del sol -- 6:01 a.m.
Puesta del sol -- 7:37 p.m.
Just around the corner -- hurricane season. Thunderstorms are
getting ready to rumble off Southern Mexico and the tropics will come
alive.
With greatly increased daytime heating coupled with a high arc in
the sun’s path toward the zenith, all that warm air rises and rises
and rises sometimes upward of 55,000 feet.
These super cells form a cluster and that area of low barometric
pressure begins to rotate counter clockwise forming a tropical
depression (winds less than 35 mph).
If the ingredients are right, 80-degree surface ocean temperature
at least, it will grow.
It will grow quicker when there are little or no upper atmospheric
sheer winds to blow off or “sheer” off the tops of the cumulonimbus.
If there’s good forward motion (at least 6 mph), it’s likely the
spinner will graduate to tropical storm while usually trekking west
to northwest down there around 15 degrees north latitude.
Then the feisty pinwheeler hits a pocket of 88-degree water about
600 to 700 miles due south (180 degrees) of Costa Azul, San Jose del
Cabo. Then the named storm rapidly grows in size and strength. Gale
force winds extend over 275 miles from the “eye,” which is only 14
miles wide! This is a tightly wound monster category five with
sustained winds of 156 mph with gusts to 185.
It is hurricane Guillermo from July 29 to Aug. 21, 1997. We got a
double overhead swell for a week from the south to south/southeast
(165-180 degrees) and two weeks later got a head high three-day
northwest pulse when Bill went extra tropical off Oregon.
* DENNIS McTIGHE is a Laguna Beach resident. He earned a
bachelor’s in earth sciences from UCSD and was a U.S. Air Force
weather forecaster at Hickman Air Force Base, Hawaii.
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