When Taylor Swiftâs blockbuster Eras tour hit Inglewoodâs SoFi Stadium last summer, Lucian Grainge took a high-profile guest: British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak.
âHe and his family are great Taylor Swift fans,â Grainge said of his choice of plus-one, adding, âI think itâs been published that he went to a SoulCycle classâ featuring the pop superstarâs music.
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Yet the London-born head of Universal Music Group also feels that, as âa cultural event,â the Eras tour is âimportant enough for any president or prime minister to see,â Grainge said. âIn the same way, Iâd take Joe Biden. And when Taylor plays Tokyo, I would be delighted to take the prime minister of Japan.â
As the chairman and chief executive of the worldâs largest record company â beyond Swift, its roster of talent includes Drake, Morgan Wallen, Olivia Rodrigo, Rihanna, Billie Eilish, U2, Kendrick Lamar, Lady Gaga, the Beatles and the Rolling Stones â Grainge, 64, is arguably the most powerful person in the music business, with a level of influence and a global network of connections that regularly put him at the crossroads of art, commerce, technology and government. (In 2016, he was knighted as part of the Queenâs Birthday Honors by Prince William, meaning heâs technically Sir Lucian.)
âIâm so thankful to have had his insight and protection for my entire career.â
— Pop star Ariana Grande
Grainge assumed his role atop UMG in 2011 at a moment of deep uncertainty for an industry then sorting out a future not built around the cash-cow compact disc. Thirteen years later, the now-publicly traded company has ridden the digital streaming wave to a valuation of approximately $50 billion and to a 35% share of the U.S. market for recorded music, according to the trade journal Hits. UMG, whose subsidiary labels include Republic, Interscope and Capitol â each a distinct fiefdom with its own history and brand â finished 2023 with seven of the yearâs 10 most-consumed albums, while five of the eight LPs nominated for album of the year at Februaryâs Grammy Awards were by UMG acts. (Swift took the prize for a record fourth time with âMidnights.â)
The companyâs clear commercial dominance over musicâs two other major record groups, Sony Music Entertainment and Warner Music Group, is matched by Graingeâs cozy personal relationships with top-tier pop stars.
âLucian is an amazing ally and advocate for artists,â Ariana Grande told The Times. âIâm so thankful to have had his insight and protection for my entire career.â
Grainge may lack the showbiz presence of machers such as David Geffen and Clive Davis, but with the industry continuing to grow due to streaming â 2022 marked the seventh consecutive year of expansion â and UMGâs unprecedented market share, his control is perhaps unmatched in the history of the recorded music business.
Yet challenges loom for UMG and for the record industry as a whole, chief among them the rise of generative artificial intelligence â which threatens to upend an economy premised on the idea of artists with nonreplicable skills â and the issue of how streaming platforms such as Spotify and Apple Music pay musicians. In response to slowing growth, UMG instituted widespread layoffs in February; that same month, the company pulled its music from TikTok amid a royalty dispute that was later settled.
Grainge insists he welcomes such complicated problems â that indeed heâs demonstrated âa pattern of pivoting and responding to disruptionâ since the bad old days of illegal file-sharing. He points to a deal he helped strike before he was CEO between UMG and Nokia to put songs on flip phones and to his early willingness to work with Spotify, which some in the industry saw as just another Napster.
âDo I believe in copyright and intellectual property and name and likeness and use of voice? One thousand percent.â
— Lucian Grainge
âI like change,â he said over a cup of tea at his stately Pacific Palisades home. âIâm not a rigid person.â Patrician yet low-key, the exec had a cold, so he was working remotely instead of at UMGâs headquarters in Santa Monica. Piles of papers were stacked around him on the kitchen table, stirred occasionally by the breeze through a door opening onto a sprawling backyard. âAbout 30 years ago, someone who was my boss at the time said, âYou know, youâre like Trotsky,ââ Grainge, dressed in a crisp blue suit, his shirt open at the collar, recalled. ââAnd the trouble with Trotsky is he kept having mini-revolutions.ââ He laughed. âI knew he was trying to insult me, but I loved it.â
Regarding AI, he said the technology has reached âa point where itâs so inevitable that I want â I need â us to be completely at the epicenterâ of its application as a creative tool. In his view, the Beatlesâ 2023 single, âNow and Then,â which was produced in part through machine-learning software, illustrates the technologyâs artistic potential.
âItâs a brilliant song â great lyric, fabulous performance, incredibly emotive â that unless weâd had AI to individualize different recordings, would never have come to light,â he said. âThatâs something good.â
At the same time, he added: âDo I believe in copyright and intellectual property and name and likeness and use of voice? One thousand percent.â The notion that âanyone can do anything with anyoneâs work â I canât tell you how much Iâm against that,â he said. The key to solving the problem, as he sees it, is âthe path to monetization,â which he said the major labels failed to discuss with Napster at the onset of widespread file-sharing.
To that end, Grainge cited UMGâs cooperation with YouTube on the latterâs AI Incubator: a squishy if earnest set of principles meant to balance the push for technological progress with a commitment to fair compensation for artists and rights holders.
Grainge has taken a similarly public role in developing a so-called artist-centric model for streaming royalties that rewards acts whose outsize popularity drives users to pay for subscriptions and that penalizes those seeking to manipulate Spotifyâs rules with brief sound-effect clips that can be looped by machine to generate lucrative clicks.
Mark Mulligan, an analyst at Midia Research, calls Grainge an âicebreakerâ in the music business for his vocal positions on these issues, and Grainge seems to relish his perception as a thought leader shaping conditions not just for UMG acts, but for the entire industry.
âIf you want to be a musician and youâve got some talent and you take it seriously,â Grainge said, âthen Iâm your greatest supporter, whether or not we touch it.â
âThe shareholders, the investors, the board â what you get with me is long-term strategy. Thatâs who I am. Thatâs what I stand for. Thatâs what I care about.â
— Lucian Grainge
Grainge, who scribbled notes throughout our conversation, grew up amid music both inside and outside the home. His father owned a record shop, while his older brother, Nigel, founded Ensign Records; Grainge cut his teeth in Londonâs rowdy punk scene and eventually scored a gig as an A&R rep in which he signed the Psychedelic Furs. By 1993, he was on his way up the corporate ladder when his first wife, Samantha Berg, entered a coma from which she never recovered as she was giving birth to his son, Elliot. He married his current wife, Caroline, in 2002 and not long after was appointed head of UMGâs international operations.
Grainge moved his family to L.A. in 2009 â Elliot would go on to start the indie label 10K Projects, home to the breakout rapper Ice Spice â ahead of his succeeding Doug Morris in UMGâs top job. One pastime he quickly cultivated: driving the canyons of Malibu, where spotty cell reception meant he could listen to music without fretting over which manager or producer he owed a phone call.
His first big move was UMGâs controversial acquisition of EMI, which shrunk the number of major labels to three from four and which required considerable regulatory finesse to pull off. In 2021, just a year and a half after he spent a month at UCLA Medical Center with a grave case of COVID-19, Grainge led UMGâs initial public offering and later was awarded a one-time bonus of $100 million when his contract was extended to 2028. A hallmark of his reign has been his nurturing of the executives who oversee UMGâs labels â John Janick at Interscope, for instance, and brothers Monte and Avery Lipman at Republic â though Def Jam and Motown have both suffered from high-level turnover, while Capitol Music Group went through some turmoil before Grainge installed Michelle Jubelirer as the labelâs CEO in December 2021. Jubelirer stepped down in February amid a restructuring of the labels under Janick and Monte Lipman.
Grainge prides himself on giving these leaders âcomplete freedom and autonomy in an entrepreneurial sense to run their businesses the way they want,â he said. âBut weâre also a collection of shopkeepers [devoted to] what I call the common good.â When more than one UMG label is interested in signing an act, he said, each label makes its pitch in-house so that he can decide which might be the most attractive to the artist. âThen the group will make an offer,â he said. âAnd the group will stick by that offer.â
How has Graingeâs role been affected by UMGâs going public? âItâs made no difference whatsoever,â he replied. âAnd I mean that â itâs made absolutely no difference. I have to spend more time with a wider group of people talking about the business and explaining it. Thatâs fine,â he said.
âThe shareholders, the investors, the board â what you get with me is long-term strategy. Thatâs who I am. Thatâs what I stand for. Thatâs what I care about.â
âThe fusion of different kinds of music is something thatâs always fascinated me.â
— Lucian Grainge
According to Tim Ingham, founder and publisher of Music Business Worldwide, that long-term strategy rests equally on Graingeâs ânose for sensible risk-takingâ and on a flair for dealing with A-list talent that Ingham said inspires âeveryone in the music industry, even his detractors, to take their hats off.â
Asked if heâs ever seen anything like the current frenzy over Swift, Grainge said he was talking about this just the other night with Elton John. (The rock icon is among UMGâs prosperous legacy acts, as is Lionel Richie, whose daughter Sofia married Elliot Grainge in April 2023.) John proposed that Taylormania is the first sensation to rival Beatlemania, though the elder Grainge compared it to Michael Jacksonâs run in the mid- to late â80s.
âHe was one of the first artists to do three nights at Wembley [Stadium],â he said. âIf you couldnât get a ticket, youâd get on the ferry and go see him in Holland or youâd fly to Berlin. That was 40 years ago. Now sheâs it.â
As crucial as a megastar such as Swift is to UMGâs health â half of the companyâs 10 best-performing albums last year were by her â Grainge said heâs determined to keep finding fresh talent in new places. At the moment heâs excited about Afrobeats and Indian music, and he sees plenty more growth potential in K-pop and Spanish-language music, both of which have exploded of late among American listeners.
âThe fusion of different kinds of music is something thatâs always fascinated me,â he added, recalling having his mind blown when a fellow A&R executive played him Aerosmith and Run-D.M.C.âs âWalk This Wayâ for the first time. âOne of the greatest records ever made,â he said.
The memory of encountering that groundbreaking rap-rock track in a London label office all those decades ago casts Graingeâs mind back to his days as a scrappy up-and-comer â before streaming, before AI, before the corner suite and the millions (and millions) of dollars.
How much of the punk he once was remains inside him?
âA lot,â he said. âIâm a talent scout. A product guy.â He grinned. âIâm still here peddling my wares.â