The 2024 Emmys BuzzMeter predicts key winners

Hiroyuki Sanada as Yoshii Toranaga sitting with his fist out in front of a flag bearing a family crest

Published June 1, 2024 Updated Aug. 1, 2024 2:47 PM PT

And here we are again, with your beloved Buzzers predicting who and what will win this season’s top Emmys. Two shows — “The Bear” and “Shōgun” — are expected to dominate among continuing-series, while the limited and TV movie categories are largely wide open.

An unusual number of consensus winner picks (seven of the 14 categories have unanimous top selections) — as well as last-place picks (two, and nearly three, categories have unanimous bottom selections) — characterize this year’s predictions.

Several of those close contests pit up-and-comers against storied vets, while the panelists sometimes have as much to say about the categories themselves as they do the nominees (the TV movie category may want to duck and cover, and “The Bear” … wherefore art thou in comedy?). Several shows and performers get singled out for special adoration, none more than a certain comedy finally receiving its first Emmy noms in its final season. That one gets panel love without reservation.

So buckle up, buttercup, here comes Round 3 of the BuzzMeter!

Headshots of three women and three men arranged in a grid.

Drama series

1. “Shōgun”
2. “The Crown”
3. “Slow Horses”
4. “Mr. and Mrs. Smith”
5. “Fallout”
6. “The Morning Show”
7. “The Gilded Age”
8. “3 Body Problem”

The show gunning for the crown is the one that turned the competition upside down with its late move from the limited series category: FX’s “Shōgun.” The lush second television adaptation of James Clavell’s 1975 novel led all comers with 25 nominations and is the BuzzMeter’s consensus pick to claim the throne — and dominate the drama awards.

“ ‘Shōgun’ is decapitated-head-and-intact-shoulders above the rest,” writes Lorraine Ali. “Its stellar cast, storytelling and cinematography make [it] the clear winner.” Glenn Whipp notes besides “Shōgun’s” late switch, “This category saw an upheaval, thanks to attrition and the strikes. What we’re left with is a series overdue for recognition (‘Slow Horses’) along with a few that wouldn’t have made the cut in a normal year. Thankfully, ‘Shōgun’ is here to save the day. Give it (almost) everything.”

Placing a distant second is the final season of “The Crown,” though the Emmy favorite (it’s one of a small handful of shows to score sweeps of the seven categories on the broadcast in a single year) is expected to win one acting award and is in a close competition for another.

A couple of spy series, “Slow Horses” and “Mr. & Mrs. Smith,” lurk in the shadows behind the top two, with surprise nominee “Fallout” showing some half-life and Netflix’s heady “3 Body Problem,” from the makers of “Game of Thrones,” being given chances so slim, they’re near impossible to calculate.

“I love the glorious melodrama of ‘The Gilded Age’ and the apocalyptic adventure of ‘Fallout,’” says Kristen Baldwin, “but for those series, the nomination is the prize.” Trey Mangum sees “a lot of love for ‘Fallout’ and ‘Mr. and Mrs. Smith.’ But, as an OG in the category, ‘The Crown’ could end up with the trophy.”

“Kudos to the Apple TV+ sleeper ‘Slow Horses’ for finally earning some Emmy respect,” says Matt Roush, while also offering a completely different (multiversal?) take on all three series races: “In a perfect world, [comedy juggernaut] ‘The Bear’ would be dominating this category, leaving truly funny comedies to duke it out while ‘Shōgun’ rules in limited series, but that’s not the case. The magnificent remake of ‘Shōgun’ is the obvious frontrunner in scale and scope.”

Interestingly, though “The Morning Show” tied “The Bear” for the most acting nominations (10! More than “Succession” got in its ballyhooed final season), it places near the bottom of the BuzzMeter’s picks to win the drama series Emmy.

Lorraine Ali
Los Angeles Times

1. “Shōgun”
2. “The Crown”
3. (tie) “Slow Horses”
3. (tie) “Mr. and Mrs. Smith”
5. “Fallout”
6. “The Morning Show”
7. “The Gilded Age”
8. “3 Body Problem”

“Shōgun” is decapitated-head-and-intact-shoulders above the rest and it has garnered 25 nominations, the most of any series. Its stellar cast, storytelling and cinematography make this predominantly Japanese-language adaptation of James Clavell’s 1975 novel the clear winner. “The Crown” also stands a chance, even though that regal drama lost its luster in its final season. Gear up for a royal battle.

Kristen Baldwin
Entertainment Weekly

1. “Shōgun”
2. “The Crown”
3. “Slow Horses”
4. “Mr. & Mrs. Smith”
5. “Fallout”
6. The Gilded Age”
7. “The Morning Show”
8. “3 Body Problem”

With 25 nominations (the most of any series this year), “Shōgun” feels like the show to beat. Right now, its only serious competition is “The Crown” (18 nominations), which voters may want to honor for its sixth and final season. (I love the glorious melodrama of “The Gilded Age” and the apocalyptic adventure of “Fallout’, but for those series, the nomination is the prize.)

Tracy Brown
Los Angeles Times

1. “Shōgun”
2. “The Crown”
3. “Fallout”
4. “Slow Horses”
5. “The Gilded Age”
6. “Mr. and Mrs. Smith”
7. “The Morning Show”
8. “3 Body Problem”

“The Crown” has previously won this category and is undoubtedly an established Television Academy favorite but this year’s frontrunner has to be “Shōgun.” FX’s jidaigeki, which followed the political and personal tumult of a core trio of very different standings in feudal Japan, earned the most overall nominations this year and should (deservedly) clean house.

Trey Mangum
Shadow and Act

1. “Shōgun”
2. “Mr. & Mrs. Smith”
3. “Fallout”
4. “The Crown”
5. “Slow Horses”
6. “The Gilded Age”
7. “The Morning Show”
8. “3 Body Problem”

“Shogun” getting a Season 2 and hopping into the drama series categories truly changed the trajectory of this year’s Emmys — and probably for the better. It’s the clear favorite here, although there is a lot of love for “Fallout” and “Mr. and Mrs. Smith.” And, as an OG in the category, “The Crown” could end up with the trophy.

Matt Roush
TV Guide

1. “Shōgun”
2. “The Crown”
3. “Slow Horses”
4. “The Morning Show”
5. “The Gilded Age”
6. “Mr. & Mrs. Smith”
7. “Fallout”
8. “3 Body Problem”

In a perfect world, “The Bear” would be dominating this category, leaving truly funny comedies to duke it out while “Shōgun” rules in limited series, but that’s not the case. The magnificent remake of “Shōgun” is the obvious frontrunner in scale and scope, but kudos to the Apple TV+ sleeper “Slow Horses” for finally earning some Emmy respect.

Glenn Whipp
Los Angeles Times

1. “Shōgun”
2. “The Crown”
3. “Slow Horses”
4. “The Morning Show”
5. “Fallout”
6. “Mr. & Mrs. Smith”
7. “The Gilded Age”
8. “3 Body Problem”

This category saw an upheaval, thanks to attrition and the strikes. What we’re left with is a series overdue for recognition (“Slow Horses”) along with a few that wouldn’t have made the cut in a normal year. Thankfully, “Shōgun” is here to save the day. Give it (almost) everything.

Lead actress in a drama series

1. Anna Sawai (“Shōgun”)
2. Imelda Staunton (“The Crown”)
3. Maya Erskine (“Mr. and Mrs. Smith”)
4. Jennifer Aniston (“The Morning Show”)
5. Carrie Coon (“The Gilded Age”
6. Reese Witherspoon (“The Morning Show”)

In one of the closest of the 14 races the BuzzMeter tracks, only three points separate Lady Mariko and the queen of England.

Anna Sawai, delivering one of “Shōgun’s” linchpin performances (Trey Mangum calls her “a highlight, if not the highlight” of the show), finishes in front of Imelda Staunton, the last in the line of English monarchs (this past season of Emmy darling “The Crown” was its final one).

Tracy Brown says Sawai “should be a lock for this, especially since (spoiler alert) this is likely the only season for which she’ll be eligible.” Lorraine Ali says, “Her performance in the FX series is wonderfully subtle, making it hard to imagine that the 31-year-old actress was once in a K-Pop band (FAKY; look it up).”

Kristen Baldwin notes the previous actors to play Queen Elizabeth II on “The Crown” each won (Claire Foy actually won in two different categories — as lead and guest performer): “It’s hard to imagine voters allowing ‘The Crown’ to end without awarding its third Queen Elizabeth, Imelda Staunton, the top prize in this category,” though Matt Roush says, “In this final season, she felt like more of a supporting character.”

Mangum voices the sentiments of many Emmy watchers in saying “over the years, Carrie Coon has been owed a lot of awards. Is the timing right for now?” And Baldwin adds, “Allow me a second to vent: Where is Emma Stone’s nomination for ‘The Curse’? A pox on all your houses, Emmy voters.”

Lorraine Ali
Los Angeles Times

1. (tie) Anna Sawai (“Shōgun”)
1. (tie) Imelda Staunton (“The Crown”)
3. Maya Erskine (“Mr. & Mrs. Smith”)
4. Jennifer Aniston (“The Morning Show”)
5. (tie) Carrie Coon (“The Gilded Age”)
5. (tie) Reese Witherspoon (“The Morning Show”)

Anna Sawai rose to a difficult challenge playing “Shōgun’s” conflicted interpreter Lady Mariko. She lent agency and power to a woman in patriarchal 16th century Japan —and made it believable. Her performance in the FX series is wonderfully subtle, making it hard to imagine that the 31-year-old actress was once in a K-Pop band (FAKY; look it up). I want her to win, but she may be upstaged by familiar talent such as Imelda Staunton of “The Crown” and Reese Witherspoon of “The Morning Show.”

Kristen Baldwin
Entertainment Weekly

1. Imelda Staunton (“The Crown”)
2. Anna Sawai (“Shōgun”)
3. Maya Erskine (“Mr. and Mrs. Smith”)
4. Jennifer Aniston (“The Morning Show”)
5. Carrie Coon (“The Gilded Age”)
6. Reese Witherspoon (“The Morning Show”)

It’s hard to imagine voters allowing “The Crown” to end without awarding its third Queen Elizabeth, Imelda Staunton, the top prize in this category. (Claire Foy won in 2018 and Olivia Colman in 2021.) That said, allow me a second to vent: Where is Emma Stone’s nomination for “The Curse”? A pox on all your houses, Emmy voters.

Tracy Brown
Los Angeles Times

1. Anna Sawai (“Shōgun”)
2. Imelda Staunton (“The Crown”)
3. Maya Erskine (“Mr. and Mrs. Smith”)
4. Jennifer Aniston (“The Morning Show”)
5. Carrie Coon (“The Gilded Age”)
6. Reese Witherspoon (“The Morning Show”)

There is no “Shōgun” without Anna Sawai’s quietly masterful and multifaceted performance as a noblewoman struggling to find purpose. She should be a lock for this, especially since (spoiler alert) this is likely the only season of the show for which she’ll be eligible. That said, actresses who have played Queen Elizabeth on “The Crown” have had a good showing in this category.

Trey Mangum
Shadow and Act

1. Anna Sawai (“Shōgun”)
2. Imelda Staunton (“The Crown”)
3. Maya Erskine (“Mr. and Mrs. Smith”)
4. Carrie Coon (“The Gilded Age”)
5. Jennifer Aniston (“The Morning Show”)
6. Reese Witherspoon (“The Morning Show”)

Anna Sawai, a highlight, if not the highlight, of “Shōgun,” should handily win. As “Mr. and Mrs. Smith” becomes more and more favorable as time goes on, Maya Erskine finds herself in the top half of potential upsetters, though Imelda Staunton for “The Crown” would likely win if Sawai does not. And over the years, Carrie Coon has been owed a lot of awards. Is the timing right for now?

Matt Roush
TV Guide

1. Anna Sawai (“Shōgun”)
2. Imelda Staunton (“The Crown”)
3. Jennifer Aniston (“The Morning Show”)
4. Maya Erskine (“Mr. & Mrs. Smith”)
5. Carrie Coon (“The Gilded Age”
6. Reese Witherspoon (“The Morning Show”)

I’m expecting a near-sweep for “Shōgun” in most major categories, and unless we see her in future season flashbacks, this is Anna Sawai’s only shot to be recognized for her subtle work as the “Barbarian’s” cunning interpreter. Imelda Staunton is the only queen not to have an Emmy for “The Crown,” but in this final season, she felt like more of a supporting character.

Glenn Whipp
Los Angeles Times

1. Anna Sawai (“Shōgun”)
2. Imelda Staunton (“The Crown”)
3. Carrie Coon (“The Gilded Age”)
4. Jennifer Aniston (“The Morning Show”)
5. Maya Erskine (“Mr. and Mrs. Smith”)
6. Reese Witherspoon (“The Morning Show”)

Among all the “Shōgun” standouts (she is just one of the series’ five acting nominees), Anna Sawai is the most deserving for the magnificent way she handled Lady Mariko’s many facets — vassal, translator, warrior, lover, avenger. She also had the most memorable exit of any character on television this year.

Lead actor in a drama series

1. Hiroyuki Sanada (“Shōgun”)
2. Gary Oldman (“Slow Horses”)
3. Walton Goggins (“Fallout”)
4. Donald Glover (“Mr. & Mrs. Smith”)
5. Dominic West (“The Crown”)
6. Idris Elba (“Hijack”)

One of the BuzzMeter’s seven consensus picks, Japanese icon Hiroyuki Sanada is expected to be the second actor to win in this category for a non-English-speaking role. Sanada’s long and varied career (he debuted in 1965) includes the original “Ring” film (1998), a host of action movies, a ballyhooed turn as the Fool in a London stage production of “King Lear” and major American films such as “Avengers: Endgame,” “The Wolverine,” “John Wick 4” and “The Last Samurai.” Now, in the role for which the legendary Toshiro Mifune received a nomination in the ‘80s, the show’s producer-lead actor is the overwhelming favorite to win an Emmy.

“Hiroyuki Sanada has always been a star and it’s been gratifying to see him in the awards conversation for a show like this,” says Tracy Brown. “The ‘Shōgun’-to-be is a shoo-in.”

A few others get some Buzz love, with Matt Roush saying, “Hiroyuki Sanada towers above the field. That said, I’d also be more than happy to welcome Gary Oldman into the winner’s circle as ‘Slow Horses’ ’ cantankerous boss.” And Kristen Baldwin writes, “Wow, was Walton Goggins wonderfully charismatic and compelling as The Ghoul.”

But Trey Mangum sees another possible scenario: “Idris Elba was a surprise nomination for many, but not for yours truly, who had him picked in our first couple of rounds … I’m still not convinced we should count Elba out. But the primary competitor I won’t count out is Gary Oldman. With ‘Slow Horses’ finally getting awards voters’ attention, this could be a perfect recipe.”

Lorraine Ali
Los Angeles Times

1. Hiroyuki Sanada (“Shōgun”)
2. Gary Oldman (“Slow Horses”)
3. Walton Goggins (“Fallout”)
4. Donald Glover (“Mr. & Mrs. Smith”)
5. Dominic West (“The Crown”)
6. Idris Elba (“Hijack”)

Hiroyuki Sanada is best known for martial-arts skills honed over many decades on screen, but as “Shōgun’s” strategic ruler, Lord Yoshii Toranaga, he slays while rarely lifting a sword. The gifted actor and producer of the sweeping series is up against Gary Oldman of “Slow Horses” and Donald Glover for “Mr. and Mrs. Smith.” All are strong contenders, making this contest anyone’s guess.

Kristen Baldwin
Entertainment Weekly

1. Hiroyuki Sanada (“Shōgun”)
2. Gary Oldman (“Slow Horses”)
3. Walton Goggins (“Fallout”)
4. Dominic West (“The Crown”)
5. Donald Glover (“Mr. & Mrs. Smith”)
6. Idris Elba (“Hijack”)

Oh, how I pray for a tie. Hiroyuki Sanada was a force of (controlled, regal) nature in “Shōgun” and absolutely deserves the win. But wow, was Walton Goggins wonderfully charismatic and compelling as The Ghoul — an irradiated, zombified bounty hunter — in Prime Video’s apocalyptic adventure, “Fallout’. And there’s no doubt they’d each give great acceptance speeches.

Tracy Brown
Los Angeles Times

1. Hiroyuki Sanada (“Shōgun”)
2. Walton Goggins (“Fallout”)
3. Gary Oldman (“Slow Horses”)
4. Donald Glover (“Mr. & Mrs. Smith”)
5. Dominic West (“The Crown”)
6. Idris Elba (“Hijack”)

This race was pretty much decided (for me) as soon as “Shōgun” switched from being a limited series to drama. Hiroyuki Sanada has always been a star and it’s been gratifying to see him in the awards conversation for a show like this. The “Shōgun”-to-be is a shoo-in.

Trey Mangum
Shadow and Act

1. Hiroyuki Sanada (“Shōgun”)
2. Gary Oldman (“Slow Horses”)
3. Idris Elba (“Hijack”)
4. Donald Glover (“Mr. & Mrs. Smith”)
5. Walton Goggins (“Fallout”)
6. Dominic West (“The Crown”)

Idris Elba was a surprise nomination for many, but not for yours truly, who had him picked in our first couple of rounds. And though Hiroyuki Sanada is our favorite here, I’m still not convinced we should count Elba out. But the primary competitor I won’t count out is Gary Oldman. With “Slow Horses” finally getting awards voters’ attention, this could be a perfect recipe.

Matt Roush
TV Guide

1. Hiroyuki Sanada (“Shōgun”)
2. Gary Oldman (“Slow Horses”)
3. Donald Glover (“Mr. & Mrs. Smith”)
4. Dominic West (“The Crown”)
5. Walton Goggins (“Fallout”)
6. Idris Elba (“Hijack”)

Hiroyuki Sanada towers above the field as Japan’s future “Shōgun,” and there is precedent for a non-English-speaking actor winning (“Squid Game’s” Lee Jung-jae). That said, I’d also be more than happy to welcome Gary Oldman into the winner’s circle as “Slow Horses’ ” cantankerous boss. Idris Elba’s surprise nomination for “Hijack” reminds me of the days when Kiefer Sutherland would regularly get noticed as “24’s” action hero.

Glenn Whipp
Los Angeles Times

1. Hiroyuki Sanada (“Shōgun”)
2. Gary Oldman (“Slow Horses”)
3. Walton Goggins (“Fallout”)
4. Dominic West (“The Crown”)
5. Donald Glover (“Mr. & Mrs. Smith”)
6. Idris Elba (“Hijack”)

I’m still puzzled how voters overlooked Cosmo Jarvis, so good as the impetuous, heroic John Blackthorne on “Shōgun.” Not that he would have won. This Emmy always belonged to his co-star, Hiroyuki Sanada, for his layered portrayal of the cunning Lord Toranaga — a role played by none other than Toshirô Mifune in the original.

Supporting actress in a drama series

1. Elizabeth Debicki (“The Crown”)
2. Christine Baranski (“The Gilded Age”)
3. Lesley Manville (“The Crown”)
4. Nicole Beharie (“The Morning Show”)
5. Greta Lee (“The Morning Show”)
6. Holland Taylor (“The Morning Show”)
7. Karen Pittman (“The Morning Show”)

In yet another consensus pick, the Buzzards have 6-foot-3 Elizabeth Debicki towering above the field. “Uncanny and heartbreaking” as Princess Diana (says Kristen Baldwin), the Australian actress not only gets all the first-place votes, but has a 10-point lead on longtime critics’ darling Christine Baranski (“The Gilded Age”).

Matt Roush says, “I’m just as eagerly rooting for Christine Baranski’s haughty dragon lady on ‘The Gilded Age’ if only for her ‘Soup? At luncheon?’ diatribe.”

Lesley Manville, as Princess Margaret on “The Crown,” has plenty of support as well: Lorraine Ali admits, “Full disclosure: I am an unabashed Lesley Manville fan. Have you seen her in ‘Harlots’? If not, you must stop reading this now and go stream it on Hulu.” But Ali sees possible trouble for the “Crown” princesses: “It’s not a sure shot for her or Elizabeth Debicki, since the series did not go out on a strong note.”

Speaking of category complications, “Love all those ‘Morning Show’ ladies, too, but it’s likely the quartet will split the vote,” says Baldwin. Though Roush looks askance: “Four nominees from ‘The Morning Show’? Was someone confusing this with ‘The White Lotus’?”

Lorraine Ali
Los Angeles Times

1. Elizabeth Debicki (“The Crown”)
2. Lesley Manville (“The Crown”)
3. Christine Baranski (“The Gilded Age”)
4. Greta Lee (“The Morning Show”)
5. Holland Taylor (“The Morning Show”)
6. (tie) Nicole Beharie (“The Morning Show”)
6. (tie) Karen Pittman (“The Morning Show”)

Full disclosure: I am an unabashed Lesley Manville fan. No matter the drama or comedy, this British actor elevates any production with her mere presence. Have you seen her in “Harlots”? If not, you must stop reading this now and go stream it on Hulu. As messy Princess Margaret in “The Crown,” she was stellar, as usual. But it’s not a sure shot for her or Elizabeth Debicki (who plays Princess Diana), since the series did not go out on a strong note.

Kristen Baldwin
Entertainment Weekly

1. Elizabeth Debicki (“The Crown”)
2. Christine Baranski (“The Gilded Age”)
3. Greta Lee (“The Morning Show”)
4. Lesley Manville (“The Crown”)
5. Holland Taylor (“The Morning Show”)
6. Nicole Beharie (“The Morning Show”)
7. Karen Pittman (“The Morning Show”)

Elizabeth Debicki, so uncanny and heartbreaking as the late Princess Diana, was a frontrunner to win even before the nominations were announced. (Lesley Manville also gave a strong performance, but she had far less screen time as Princess Margaret.) Love all those “Morning Show” ladies, too, but it’s likely the quartet will split the vote. At least they’ll have another shot next year, as should the splendiferous Christine Baranski.

Tracy Brown
Los Angeles Times

1. Elizabeth Debicki (“The Crown”)
2. Lesley Manville (“The Crown”)
3. Christine Baranski (“The Gilded Age”)
4. Nicole Beharie (“The Morning Show”)
5. Holland Taylor (“The Morning Show”)
6. Greta Lee (“The Morning Show”)
7. Karen Pittman (“The Morning Show”)

Elizabeth Debicki, nominated again for her portrayal of Princess Diana in “The Crown,” seems to be the frontrunner here, even if it seems like you shouldn’t count out “The Morning Show,” since it nabbed half the available nomination slots. Christine Baranski was criminally overlooked for her work on “The Good Fight” so I’m happy to see her back in the awards conversation with “The Gilded Age.”

Trey Mangum
Shadow and Act

1. Elizabeth Debicki (“The Crown”)
2. Nicole Beharie (“The Morning Show”)
3. Christine Baranski (“The Gilded Age”)
4. Karen Pittman (“The Morning Show”)
5. Lesley Manville (“The Crown”)
5. Sarita Choudhury (“Fallout”)
6. Holland Taylor (“The Morning Show”)
7. Greta Lee (“The Morning Show”)

I was always high on Nicole Beharie and Karen Pittman scoring nominations for “The Morning Show,” and look! Of the two, I really would love to caution folks to not count Beharie out in this roster. There aren’t any actors from “Shōgun” here who can run away with this, but there is Elizabeth Debicki for her last chance to win for her Princess Diana portrayal in “The Crown.”

Matt Roush
TV Guide

1. Elizabeth Debicki (“The Crown”)
2. Christine Baranski (“The Gilded Age”)
3. Greta Lee (“The Morning Show”)
4. Holland Taylor (“The Morning Show”)
5. Lesley Manville (“The Crown”)
6. Nicole Beharie (“The Morning Show”)
7. Karen Pittman (“The Morning Show”)

The consensus is that Elizabeth Debicki will repeat for her stunning portrayal of “The Crown’s” doomed Princess Diana. I agree, but I’m just as eagerly rooting for Christine Baranski’s haughty dragon lady on “The Gilded Age” if only for her “Soup? At luncheon?” diatribe. And four nominees from “The Morning Show”? Was someone confusing this with “The White Lotus”?

Glenn Whipp
Los Angeles Times

1. Elizabeth Debicki (“The Crown”)
2. Lesley Manville (“The Crown”)
3. Christine Baranski (“The Gilded Age”)
4. Nicole Beharie (“The Morning Show”)
5. Holland Taylor (“The Morning Show”)
6. Karen Pittman (“The Morning Show”)
7. Greta Lee (“The Morning Show”)

Australian Elizabeth Debicki (“Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2,” “Tenet”) won the Screen Actors Guild Award for her sensitive portrayal of the melancholy Diana on “The Crown” earlier this year, and with Jennifer Coolidge (back-to-back winner for “The White Lotus”) out of the race, she’ll probably win the Emmy too.

Supporting actor in a drama series

1. Tadanobu Asano (“Shōgun”)
2. Takehiro Hira (“Shōgun”)
3. Billy Crudup (“The Morning Show”)
4. Jonathan Pryce (“The Crown”)
5. Jack Lowden (“Slow Horses”)
6. Jon Hamm (“The Morning Show”)
7. Mark Duplass (“The Morning Show”)

In yet another consensus pick, the Buzzers boil over with enthusiasm for another “Shōgun” actor. Tracy Brown enthuses, “Tadanobu Asano got to show off why he’s a star in Japan as the charismatic Yabushige, a lord happy to play whatever cards he needs to get ahead.”

“That last scene he shared with Hiroyuki Sanada displayed his range, showing a melancholic contemplation that made Yabushige’s exit heartrending,” says Glenn Whipp of Asano’s percolating nomination. “Surprising for a character who began the show boiling a man alive.” But Lorraine Ali warns of possible academy reticence at awarding a non-household name (in the U.S.) such as Asano. “If this contest truly is about awarding the best performance (call me naïve), he’ll win for giving us ‘Shōgun’s’ best character.”

Kristen Baldwin and Trey Mangum also stan Billy Crudup, a previous winner receiving his third nomination for “The Morning Show”: “Several seasons in now, I think that Billy Crudup continues to deliver the premier supporting performance on television,” says Mangum. Baldwin writes, “He’s one of the few actors in the ensemble of that enjoyably ludicrous series that truly seems to be in on the joke.”

Lorraine Ali
Los Angeles Times

1. Tadanobu Asano (“Shōgun”)
2. Takehiro Hira (“Shōgun”)
3. Jonathan Pryce (“The Crown”)
4. (tie) Billy Crudup (“The Morning Show”)
4. (tie) Jack Lowden (“Slow Horses”)
6. Jon Hamm (“The Morning Show”)
7. Mark Duplass (“The Morning Show”)

Tadanobu Asana is hardly a household name, which means the risk-averse Television Academy may fear voting for someone who hasn’t been in a show they’ve already awarded (“The Crown,” ‘The Morning Show”). But if this contest truly is about awarding the best performance (call me naïve), he’d win for giving us “Shōgun’s” best character — the charismatic warrior and deadly double-agent, Kashigi Yabushige.

Kristen Baldwin
Entertainment Weekly

1. Tadanobu Asano (“Shōgun”)
2. Takehiro Hira (“Shōgun”)
3. Billy Crudup (“The Morning Show”)
4. Jonathan Pryce (“The Crown”)
5. Jack Lowden (“Slow Horses”)
6. Jon Hamm (“The Morning Show”)
7. Mark Duplass (“The Morning Show”)

Tadanobu Asano was both terrifying and hilarious as “Shōgun’s” wily, unhinged Yabushige, and he’s the man to beat. On a semi-related note, congrats to Billy Crudup for his third nomination as Cory “Chaos is the new cocaine” Ellison on “The Morning Show.” He’s one of the few actors in the ensemble of that enjoyably ludicrous series that truly seems to be in on the joke.

Tracy Brown
Los Angeles Times

1. Tadanobu Asano (“Shōgun”)
2. Takehiro Hira (“Shōgun”)
3. Billy Crudup (“The Morning Show”)
4. Jonathan Pryce (“The Crown”)
5. Jon Hamm (“The Morning Show”)
6. Jack Lowden (“Slow Horses”)
7. Mark Duplass (“The Morning Show”)

“Shōgun’s” Tadanobu Asano got to show off why he’s a star in Japan as the charismatic Yabushige, a lord happy to play whatever cards he needs to get ahead. Takehiro Hira’s character might have been the one with the upper hand for (most of) the show but the winner here will be Asano.

Trey Mangum
Shadow and Act

1. Tadanobu Asano (“Shōgun”)
2. Billy Crudup (“The Morning Show”)
3. Takehiro Hira (“Shōgun”)
4. Mark Duplass (“The Morning Show”)
5. Jack Lowden (“Slow Horses”)
6. Jon Hamm (“The Morning Show”)
7. Jonathan Pryce (“The Crown”)

Several seasons in now, I think that Billy Crudup continues to deliver the premier supporting performance on television. It’s why he won back in 2020 and continues to be in contention. I don’t think this is the year for him to nab another though, as the “Shōgun” supporting actors are such heavy hitters.

Matt Roush
TV Guide

1. Tadanobu Asano (“Shōgun”)
2. Jon Hamm (“The Morning Show”)
3. Takehiro Hira (“Shōgun”)
4. Billy Crudup (“The Morning Show”)
5. Jack Lowden (“Slow Horses”)
6. Jonathan Pryce (“The Crown”)
7. Mark Duplass (“The Morning Show”)

If “Shōgun” engineers a sweep, it should include the scene-stealing Tadanobu Asano. Billy Crudup has advantage as a former winner in the category, while this is Jon Hamm’s better chance at a win as “The Morning Show’s” Big Bad Disruptor (he’s also nominated for “Fargo”). I am beyond tickled to see Jack Lowden in the mix as “Slow Horses’ ” hapless River.

Glenn Whipp
Los Angeles Times

1. Tadanobu Asano (“Shōgun”)
2. Billy Crudup (“The Morning Show”)
3. Takehiro Hira (“Shōgun”)
4. Jonathan Pryce (“The Crown”)
5. Jack Lowden (“Slow Horses”)
6. Jon Hamm (“The Morning Show”)
7. Mark Duplass (“The Morning Show”)

I’ve written about Anna Sawai’s dramatic departure from “Shōgun,” and Tadanobu Asano had a memorable sendoff as well. His work in the series was wildly entertaining, but that last scene he shared with Hiroyuki Sanada displayed his range, showing a melancholic contemplation that made Yabushige’s exit heartrending. Surprising for a character who began the show boiling a man alive.

Two men and a woman walk down a school hallway in "Abbott Elementary."

Comedy series

1. “The Bear”
2. “Abbott Elementary”
3. “Hacks”
4. “Reservation Dogs”
5. “Only Murders in the Building”
6. “What We Do in the Shadows”
7. “Curb Your Enthusiasm”
8. “Palm Royale”

In the dark forest of Emmy season, the panel says voters will choose “The Bear.”

The reigning champ is essentially another consensus pick — one panelist called it to tie for the win with “Reservation Dogs”: “Now’s the last chance to award one of the decade’s best TV comedies — and for its best and last season,” says Lorraine Ali. “But this comedy award is likely to go to ‘The Bear’ and that’s fine if you’re OK with a just-OK drama canceling out a once-in-a-lifetime comedy.”

Every panelist picks “The Bear” to win, but several share Ali’s reservation about its category. Kristen Baldwin says, “The second season of ‘The Bear’ was truly sublime; go ahead and give it all the awards. (But next year, guys, submit in the drama category. You know it’s time.)” Tracy Brown agrees: “While people may continue to debate over whether ‘The Bear’ truly is a comedy, the one thing that’s not in question is how it will likely sweep in the comedy categories once again.”

Ali also isn’t alone in championing “Rez Dogs,” as its fans call it. Five of the six panelists shout it out, calling it “transcendent” and “beloved.” Trey Mangum sighs, “Ah, if only voters caught up to ‘Reservation Dogs’ two seasons ago, but unfortunately, this final season is not its moment.”

Lorraine Ali
Los Angeles Times

1. (tie) “The Bear”
1. (tie) “Reservation Dogs”
3. “Abbott Elementary”
4. “Only Murders in the Building”
5. “Hacks”
6. “Palm Royale”
7. (tie) “Curb Your Enthusiasm”
7. (tie) “What We Do in the Shadows”

“Reservation Dogs” has been snubbed two seasons running by the Emmys. Now’s the last chance to award one of the decade’s best TV comedies — and for its best and last season. The defiantly unique FX series challenged Native American tropes with wicked smart humor. But this comedy award is likely to go to “The Bear” and that’s fine if you’re OK with a just-OK drama canceling out a once-in-a-lifetime comedy.

Kristen Baldwin
Entertainment Weekly

1. “The Bear”
2. “Abbott Elementary”
3. “Hacks”
4. “Reservation Dogs”
5. “Only Murders in the Building”
6. “What We Do in the Shadows”
7. “Curb Your Enthusiasm”
8. “Palm Royale”

“The Bear”

2. “Abbott Elementary”

3. “Hacks”

4. “Reservation Dogs”

5. “Only Murders in the Building”

6. “What We Do in the Shadows”

7. “Curb Your Enthusiasm”

8. “Palm Royale”

The second season of “The Bear” was truly sublime; go ahead and give it all the
awards. (But next year, guys, submit in the drama category. You know it’s time.) It’s a bummer that for “Reservation Dogs,” one of the most transcendent comedies of the last decade, their first (and last) nomination in this category is unlikely to result in a win. (And shame on voters for snubbing “I’m a Virgo,” the most original comedy of 2023.)

Tracy Brown
Los Angeles Times

1. “The Bear”
2. “Abbott Elementary”
3. “Hacks”
4. “Reservation Dogs”
5. “Only Murders in the Building”
6. “What We Do in the Shadows”
7. “Curb Your Enthusiasm”
8. “Palm Royale”

There is only one thing I needed the Emmy voters to get right this year and that was for them to finally give “Reservation Dogs” the recognition it deserves. But while people may continue to debate over whether “The Bear” truly is a comedy, the one thing that’s not in question is how it will sweep in the comedy categories once again.

Trey Mangum
Shadow and Act

1. “The Bear”
2. “Abbott Elementary”
3. “Hacks”
4. “Only Murders in the Building”
5. “Reservation Dogs”
6. “What We Do in the Shadows”
7. “Palm Royale”
8. “Curb Your Enthusiasm”

It looks as if “The Bear” will come out on top as it continues to duke it out with “Abbott Elementary” this awards season. “Hacks” is stellar as always, but won’t be able to match these two. Ah, if only voters had caught up to “Reservation Dogs” two seasons ago, but unfortunately, this final season is not its moment.

Matt Roush
TV Guide

1. “The Bear”
2. “Hacks”
3. “Abbott Elementary”
4. “Only Murders in the Building”
5. “Reservation Dogs”
6. “Curb Your Enthusiasm”
7. “What We Do in the Shadows”
8. “Palm Royale”

Nothing will stop “The Bear” from winning handily for its second and arguably best
season. (The “Fishes” episode alone guarantees it, and will win for writing and directing.) FX’s banner year at the Emmys includes a belated nomination for the
beloved “Reservation Dogs” in its final season. “Hacks” enjoyed a resurgent season,
but, thanks to “The Bear,” is a dark horse.

Glenn Whipp
Los Angeles Times

1. “The Bear”
2. “Hacks”
3. “Abbott Elementary”
4. “Only Murders in the Building”
5. “Reservation Dogs”
6. “Curb Your Enthusiasm”
7. “What We Do in the Shadows”
8. “Palm Royale”

As long as Emmy voters pay attention to what’s eligible, the fact that reigning comedy series champ “The Bear” spun its wheels a bit in its recently released third season shouldn’t impact the impulse to honor it for its stellar second season, “Forks” and “Fishes” and all.

Lead actress in a comedy series

1. Ayo Edebiri (“The Bear”)
2. Jean Smart (“Hacks”)
3. Quinta Brunson (“Abbott Elementary”)
4. Selena Gomez (“Only Murders in the Building”)
5. Maya Rudolph (“Loot”)
6. Kristen Wiig (“Palm Royale”)

In one of the closest races in the BuzzMeter, reigning supporting champ Ayo Edebiri bears down on five-time winner Jean Smart in the lead category.

Four points separate the two in our weighted voting, with Edebiri in the pole position and “Abbott’s” Quinta Brunson four behind Smart.

“Jean Smart or Ayo Edebiri? It’s not quite a toss-up — Edebiri probably has the edge — but it’s close,” says Kristen Baldwin, who, it turns out, is not a fan of “Palm Royale”: “Quick question for Emmy voters: Did any of you actually watch ‘Palm Royale’? Even the undeniably talented Kristen Wiig couldn’t make those torpid scripts funny.”

Lorraine Ali disagrees: “My dream? Kristen Wiig is honored for her hilarious and moving role in ‘Palm Royale.’ ” Trey Mangum, meanwhile, has the same old love for Selena Gomez, but advises her fans to calm down: “Selena Gomez finally got her acting nod for ‘Only Murders in the Building,’ but her stock would have probably been higher in the years prior.”

Glenn Whipp lays down the horse race, praising Smart but adding, “With ‘The Bear’ pulling in 23 nominations — the most ever for a comedy — it wouldn’t be surprising for the show to sweep through the ceremony, carrying Ayo Edebiri to the win.”

Lorraine Ali
Los Angeles Times

1. (tie) Ayo Edebiri (“The Bear”)
1. (tie) Quinta Brunson (“Abbott Elementary”)
1. (tie) Jean Smart (“Hacks”)
4. Selena Gomez (“Only Murders in the Building”)
5. Kristen Wiig (“Palm Royale”)
6. Maya Rudolph (“Loot”)

Jean Smart is a force. I’d be happy with her winning this honor again for her compelling performance as seasoned, caustic stand-up comic Deborah Vance in “Hacks.” Same goes for former Emmy winner Quinta Brunson, who plays a dedicated grade-school teacher in “Abbott Elementary” (a show created by Brunson). My dream? Kristen Wiig is honored for her hilarious and moving role in “Palm Royale,” a mid-century satire where class disparity is actually funny instead of depressing.

Kristen Baldwin
Entertainment Weekly

1. Ayo Edebiri (“The Bear”)
2. Jean Smart (“Hacks”)
3. Quinta Brunson (“Abbott Elementary”)
4. Maya Rudolph (“Loot”)
5. Selena Gomez (“Only Murders in the Building”)
6. Kristen Wiig (“Palm Royale”)

Jean Smart or Ayo Edebiri? It’s not quite a toss-up — Edebiri probably has the edge — but it’s close. Quick question for Emmy voters: Did any of you actually watch “Palm Royale”? Even the undeniably talented Kristen Wiig couldn’t make those torpid scripts funny. (The costumes, which were also nominated, were fabulous, though.)

Tracy Brown
Los Angeles Times

1. Ayo Edebiri (“The Bear”)
2. Jean Smart (“Hacks”)
3. Quinta Brunson (“Abbott Elementary”)
4. Selena Gomez (“Only Murders in the Building”)
5. Maya Rudolph (“Loot”)

6. Kristen Wiig (“Palm Royale”)

This competitive category is loaded with past winners: Quinta Brunson, Jean Smart and supporting-turned-lead Ayo Edebiri. (Not to mention Maya Rudolph, who has a couple past comedy guest actress wins, among others.) I think this might be the closest of the comedy races, but I’ll give the edge to Edebiri.

Trey Mangum
Shadow and Act

1. Ayo Edebiri (“The Bear”)
2. Quinta Brunson (“Abbott Elementary”)
3. Jean Smart (“Hacks”)
4. Maya Rudolph (“Loot”)
5. Selena Gomez (“Only Murders in the Building”)
6. Kristen Wiig (“Palm Royale”)

With Ayo Edebiri being in the lead actress category for “The Bear” instead of supporting this year, it instantly made her the standout, putting her odds above Quinta Brunson’s and Jean Smart’s. Selena Gomez finally got her acting nod for “Only Murders in the Building,” but her stock would have probably been higher in the years prior.

Matt Roush
TV Guide

1. Jean Smart (“Hacks”)
2. Ayo Edebiri (“The Bear”)
3. Quinta Brunson (“Abbott Elementary”)
4. Selena Gomez (“Only Murders in the Building”)
5. Maya Rudolph (“Loot”)
6. Kristen Wiig (“Palm Royale”)

Ayo Edebiri’s ascension (earned) to the lead category puts her head-to-head with the majestic Jean Smart, and for me, that’s a toss-up. My vote would go to Smart for her latest round as the unstoppable Deborah Vance, but it’s a tough call. Delighted that Selena Gomez finally gets a nomination as the dry tonic to “Only Murders’ ” legendary clowns.

Glenn Whipp
Los Angeles Times

1. Ayo Edebiri (“The Bear”)
2. Jean Smart (“Hacks”)
3. Quinta Brunson (“Abbott Elementary”)
4. Selena Gomez (“Only Murders in the Building”)
5. Kristen Wiig (“Palm Royale”)
6. Maya Rudolph (“Loot”)

Jean Smart won this Emmy for the first two seasons of “Hacks” and was her usual spectacular self when the show returned this year. But with “The Bear” pulling in 23
nominations — the most ever for a comedy — it wouldn’t be surprising for the show to sweep through the ceremony, carrying Ayo Edebiri to the win.

Lead actor in a comedy series

1. Jeremy Allen White (“The Bear”)
2. Martin Short (“Only Murders in the Building”)
3. Steve Martin (“Only Murders in the Building”)
4. Larry David (“Curb Your Enthusiasm”)
5. D’Pharaoh Woon-A-Tai (“Reservation Dogs”)
6. Matt Berry (“What We Do in the Shadows”)

“Think of this contest like a bitterly funny episode of ‘Curb Your Enthusiasm,’ ” says Lorraine Ali, “where Larry David is cheated out of a comedy award by an actor from a drama that’s strategically posing as a comedy. And it’s Larry’s last chance!”

Jeremy Allen White of reigning comedy champ “The Bear” is, indeed, another consensus pick (a win would be his second straight). The panel greatly admires the show and its lead performance, but there’s no shortage of saltiness in its comments. Matt Roush, for instance, says, “For the second year, Jeremy Allen White will get an Emmy for the year’s most impressive dramatic work. In a comedy category.”

“Congrats to the adorable D’Pharaoh Woon-A-Tai for breaking the white-guy barrier in the category with a much-deserved nomination,” says Kristen Baldwin. “If only voters had also expanded their horizons enough to check out ‘I’m a Virgo’ (yep, still mad about that) — because if they had, there’s no way Jharrel Jerome would have been snubbed.”

“D’Pharaoh Woon-A-Tai’s Emmy should have come years ago and [his first nom] may be a little too late,” laments Trey Mangum. Matt Roush says, “I’m glad to see ‘Reservation Dogs’ ’ soulful D’Pharaoh Woon-A-Tai in the running,” then adds, “wish [his costar] Devery Jacobs had made the cut in the actress category.”

Ali’s not done, noting that if White wins as expected, Larry David will have failed to win “anything for 5 million seasons of HBO’s ‘Curb Your Enthusiasm.’ In the words of Susie Greene, ‘What the F*#$, Emmys!’ ”

Lorraine Ali
Los Angeles Times

1. (tie) Jeremy Allen White (“The Bear”)
1. (tie) Martin Short (“Only Murders in the Building”)
3. (tie) Steve Martin (“Only Murders in the Building”)
3. (tie) D’Pharaoh Woon-A-Tai, “Reservation Dogs”
5. Larry David (“Curb Your Enthusiasm”)
6. Matt Berry (“What We Do in the Shadows”)

Think of this contest like a bitterly funny episode of “Curb Your Enthusiasm,” where
Larry (Larry David) is cheated out of a comedy award by an actor from a drama that’s strategically posing as a comedy. And it’s Larry’s last chance! This award will go to Jeremy Allen White for “The Bear,” despite David never winning anything for what has to be 5 million seasons of HBO’s “Curb Your Enthusiasm.” In the words of Susie Greene, “What the f—, Emmys!”

Kristen Baldwin
Entertainment Weekly

1. Jeremy Allen White (“The Bear”)
2. Martin Short (“Only Murders in the Building”)
3. Larry David (“Curb Your Enthusiasm”)
4. Steve Martin (“Only Murders in the Building”)
5. Matt Berry (“What We Do in the Shadows”)
6. D’Pharaoh Woon-A-Tai (“Reservation Dogs”)

Jeremy Allen White will win. Congrats to the adorable D’Pharaoh Woon-A-Tai for
breaking the white-guy barrier in the category with a much-deserved nomination. If only voters had also expanded their horizons enough to check out “I’m a Virgo” (yep, still mad about that) — because if they had, there’s no way Jharrel Jerome would have been snubbed.

Tracy Brown
Los Angeles Times

1. Jeremy Allen White (“The Bear”)
2. Martin Short (“Only Murders in the Building”)
3. Steve Martin (“Only Murders in the Building”)
4. D’Pharaoh Woon-A-Tai (“Reservation Dogs”)
5. Larry David (“Curb Your Enthusiasm”)
6. Matt Berry (“What We Do in the Shadows”)

Let’s give it up for “Reservation Dogs’ ” D’Pharaoh Woon-A-Tai getting his first
nomination among a sea of veteran contenders that include last year’s winner, Jeremy Allen White, two-thirds of the “Only Murders” power throuple, Martin Short and Steve Martin, and “Curb Your Enthusiasm’s” Larry David. But I can’t imagine White will not get his back-to-back win.

Trey Mangum
Shadow and Act

1. Jeremy Allen White (“The Bear”)
2. Martin Short (“Only Murders in the Building”)
3. Steve Martin (“Only Murders in the Building”)
4. D’Pharaoh Woon-A-Tai, “Reservation Dogs”
5. Matt Berry, “What We Do in the Shadows”
6. Larry David, “Curb Your Enthusiasm”

Oh, this is Jeremy Allen White’s Emmy for sure, with most things comedy-related this year coming up all things “The Bear.” Though D’Pharaoh Woon-A-Tai’s Emmy should have come years ago and [his first nom] may be a little too late, right under White I would have Steve Martin and Martin Short for “Only Murders in the Building.”

Matt Roush
TV Guide

1. Jeremy Allen White (“The Bear”)
2. Steve Martin (“Only Murders in the Building”)
3. Larry David (“Curb Your Enthusiasm”)
4. D’Pharaoh Woon-A-Tai (“Reservation Dogs”)
5. Martin Short (“Only Murders in the Building”)
6. Matt Berry (“What We Do in the Shadows”)

For the second year, Jeremy Allen White will get an Emmy for the year’s most impressive dramatic work. In a comedy category. Nonetheless, an award’s an award, and he earned it. I’m glad to see “Reservation Dogs’ ” soulful D’Pharaoh Woon-A-Tai in the running (wish Devery Jacobs had made the cut in the actress category) alongside legends like Steve Martin and Martin Short.

Glenn Whipp
Los Angeles Times

1. Jeremy Allen White (“The Bear”)
2. Martin Short (“Only Murders in the Building”)
3. Steve Martin (“Only Murders in the Building”)
4. Larry David (“Curb Your Enthusiasm”)
5. D’Pharoah Woon-A-Tai (“Reservation Dogs”)
6. Matt Berry (“What We Do in the Shadows”)

Jeremy Allen White won last year for “The Bear.” What could possibly stop him from repeating? A bad meal at a fine-dining restaurant? A spouse saying, “Yes, chef!” or “corner” one too many times while making dinner at home? In a deep and talented field with some comedy legends in it, he’s the overwhelming favorite.

Supporting actress in a comedy series

1. Hannah Einbinder (“Hacks”)
2. Liza Colón-Zayas (“The Bear”)
3. (tie) Sheryl Lee Ralph (“Abbott Elementary”)
3. (tie) Meryl Streep (“Only Murders in the Building”)
5. Janelle James (“Abbott Elementary”)
6. Carol Burnett (“Palm Royale”)

This category features comedy royalty (Carol Burnett), the Empress of Oscars (Meryl Streep), a recent winner (Sheryl Lee Ralph) and her highly thought-of costar (Janelle James), and a favorite from the current comedy series champ (Liza Colón-Zayas). So, the frontrunner, naturally, is Hannah Einbinder of “Hacks.”

Reigning winner Ayo Edebiri’s (“The Bear”) jump to the lead category “leaves the door open for Hannah Einbinder to finally get an Emmy for her terrific turn (really a co-lead alongside Jean Smart),” says Glenn Whipp. Trey Mangum lavishes praise on the “Abbott” ladies, but writes, “due to the absolute tour de force that was Hannah Einbinder in this most recent season of ‘Hacks,’ this is her year.” “Ralph has already won this category, and Streep doesn’t need any more awards,” says Lorraine Ali. “Einbinder has this, unless James does. I’m good either way.”

Einbinder, another consensus pick, has one of the largest leads in the BuzzMeter, with 12 points on second-place Colón-Zayas. Colón-Zayas may have her Emmy evening in the sun next year, considering the head-turning performance she gives in an episode featuring her in the current season of “The Bear”: But “with her excellent Season 3 episode ‘Napkins’ still fresh in viewers’ minds, it could give her Season 2 work extra momentum with voters,” says Kristen Baldwin.

Lorraine Ali
Los Angeles Times

1. Hannah Einbinder (“Hacks”)
2. Janelle James (“Abbott Elementary”)
3. Liza Colón-Zayas (“The Bear”)
4. Sheryl Lee Ralph (“Abbott Elementary”)
5. Meryl Streep (“Only Murders in the Building”)
6. Carol Burnett (“Palm Royale”)

This is Hannah Einbinder’s to win for her “Hacks” performance as young comedy writer Ava, who’s lured back into a co-dependent working relationship with her former boss, veteran stand-up comedian (Jean Smart). It’s true that Einbinder is up against three powerhouse performers, Janelle James and Sheryl Lee Ralph of “Abbott Elementary” and Meryl Streep of “Only Murders in the Building.” Ralph has already won this category, and Streep doesn’t need any more awards. Einbinder has this, unless James does. I’m good either way.

Kristen Baldwin
Entertainment Weekly

1. Hannah Einbinder (“Hacks”)
2. Meryl Streep (“Only Murders in the Building”)
3. Sheryl Lee Ralph (“Abbott Elementary”)
4. Janelle James (“Abbott Elementary”)
5. Carol Burnett (“Palm Royale”)
6. Liza Colón-Zayas (“The Bear”)

Ayo Edebiri has graduated to lead actress this year, which leaves Hannah Einbinder as the frontrunner — a position she deserves after the fantastic third season of “Hacks.” It’s nice to see “The Bear’s” Liza Colón-Zayas earn some recognition, and with her excellent Season 3 episode “Napkins” still fresh in viewers’ minds, it could give her Season 2 work extra momentum with voters.

Tracy Brown
Los Angeles Times

1. Hannah Einbinder (“Hacks”)
2. Liza Colón-Zayas (“The Bear”)
3. Sheryl Lee Ralph (“Abbott Elementary”)
4. Meryl Streep (“Only Murders in the Building”)
5. Carol Burnett (“Palm Royale”)
6. Janelle James (“Abbott Elementary”)

With Ayo Edebiri graduated to lead, this should finally be the year Hannah Einbinder of “Hacks” earns her win (after two previous nominations) for a standout season. But she does face stiff competition from Edebiri’s “The Bear” castmate Liza Colón-Zayas, whose breakout third season will likely be fresh in the minds of many, even though these Emmys are for the show’s second.

Trey Mangum
Shadow and Act

1. Hannah Einbinder (“Hacks”)
2. Janelle James (“Abbott Elementary”)
3. Sheryl Lee Ralph (“Abbott Elementary”)
4. Liza Colón-Zayas (“The Bear”)
5. Carol Burnett (“Palm Royale”)
6. Meryl Streep (“Only Murders in the Building”)

Ayo Edebiri being in the lead actress category instead of supporting gave a lot of people some opportunities here. Janelle James and Sheryl Lee Ralph would lead my picks to win in any other season, with James having the slight edge. However, due to the absolute tour de force that was Hannah Einbinder in this most recent season of “Hacks,” this is her year.

Matt Roush
TV Guide

1. Hannah Einbinder (“Hacks”)
2. Meryl Streep (“Only Murders in the Building”)
3. Liza Colón-Zayas (“The Bear”)
4. Sheryl Lee Ralph (“Abbott Elementary”)
5. Janelle James (“Abbott Elementary”)
6. Carol Burnett (“Palm Royale”)

This could be Hannah Einbinder’s year for “Hacks,” which gave her character much meatier (and less whiny) storylines. Meryl Streep as “Only Murders’ ” comeback-seeking actress is hard to bet against, though—not to mention TV living legend Carol Burnett, who’s funny even when they wouldn’t let her speak on the disappointing “Palm Royale.” A “Bear” sweep could benefit the wonderful Liza Colón-Zayas.

Glenn Whipp
Los Angeles Times

1. Hannah Einbinder (“Hacks”)
2. Liza Colón-Zayas (“The Bear”)
3. Meryl Streep (“Only Murders in the Building”)
4. Sheryl Lee Ralph (“Abbott Elementary”)
5. Carol Burnett (“Palm Royale”)
6. Janelle James (“Abbott ElementaryCarol Burnett (“Palm Royale”)

Ayo Edebiri (FX’s “The Bear”) won last year, but is competing in lead actress now. That leaves the door open for Hannah Einbinder to finally get an Emmy for her terrific turn (really a co-lead alongside Jean Smart) as the young writer coming into her own on Max’s “Hacks.”

Supporting actor in a comedy series

1. Ebon Moss-Bachrach (“The Bear”)
2. Lionel Boyce (“The Bear”)
3. Tyler James Williams (“Abbott Elementary”)
4. Paul Rudd (“Only Murders in the Building”)
5. Bowen Yang (“Saturday Night Live”)
6. Paul W. Downs (“Hacks”)

Ebon Moss-Bachrach, the man who would be Thing (he has been cast as the iconic comic hero in the upcoming “Fantastic Four” movie), is the reigning champ and turned in another spicy season as Cousin Richie on “The Bear.” But Lionel Boyce, as the show’s empathetic beating heart, Marcus, is nominated as well and could pull a substantial number of votes. The two are atop the Round 3 predictions, separated by a mere five points.

Trey Mangum says, “My personal bet is on Lionel Boyce, the latest member from Odd Future and its associated subgroups to hit success in their own lane.”

Glenn Whipp is firmly on the Richie train: “ ‘Forks’ — the episode where Moss-Bachrach’s Richie learns the art of service and, in the process, finds peace and happiness — stands as ‘The Bear’s’ finest achievement. Richie delivering the pizza to the table at the end? Don’t start. I’ll cry!”

As to the others, Matt Roush calls Paul Rudd’s “playing against type as ‘Only Murders’ ’ obnoxious victim the sort of comedy performance you’d expect to see win in a more traditional competition.” And Kristen Baldwin “squealed with joy when Paul W. Downs’ name was called after being overlooked for ‘Hacks’’ last two seasons. He and Megan Salter (as Jimmy’s flighty assistant, Kayla) rival Jean Smart and Hannah Einbinder as the show’s funniest duo.”

Lorraine Ali
Los Angeles Times

1. Ebon Moss-Bachrach (“The Bear”)
2. Lionel Boyce (“The Bear”)
3. Tyler James Williams (“Abbott Elementary”)
4. Paul Rudd (“Only Murders in the Building”)
5. Paul W. Downs (“Hacks”)
6. Bowen Yang (“Saturday Night Live”)

Bowen Yang is one of the few reasons to still watch “Saturday Night Live.” Even when the sketches bomb, he still shines. But let’s get serious here. “The Bear” landed the second most Emmy nominations (23) of any show this year, so it’s not unthinkable that Ebon Moss-Bachrach of “The Bear” could win a second time. Unless they pick his castmate, Lionel Boyce, or decide that “Abbott’s” Tyler James Williams should win, again. Sigh. We’re weeks away from the Emmys and I’m already tired.

Kristen Baldwin
Entertainment Weekly

1. Ebon Moss-Bachrach (“The Bear”)
2. Lionel Boyce (“The Bear”)
3. Bowen Yang (“Saturday Night Live”)
4. Paul Rudd (“Only Murders in the Building”)
5. Tyler James Williams (“Abbott Elementary”)

6. Paul W. Downs (“Hacks”)

Like Richie, Ebon Moss-Bachrach will need to press his best suit, because he’ll be on stage again accepting the Emmy, come Sept. 15. And I squealed with joy when Paul W. Downs’ name was called after being overlooked for “Hacks’ ” last two seasons. He and Megan Salter (as Jimmy’s flighty assistant, Kayla) rival Jean Smart and Hannah Einbinder as the show’s funniest duo.

Tracy Brown
Los Angeles Times

1. Ebon Moss-Bachrach (“The Bear”)
2. Lionel Boyce (“The Bear”)
3. Tyler James Williams (“Abbott Elementary”)
4. Bowen Yang (“Saturday Night Live”)
5. Paul Rudd (“Only Murders in the Building”)
6. Paul W. Downs (“Hacks”)

It’s pretty much a sure thing that Ebon Moss-Bachrach will repeat for his role as the gruff and stubborn Richie, who finds a new appreciation for fine dining during the second season of “The Bear.” That said, his castmate Lionel Boyce, playing the passionate baker-turned-pastry chef Marcus, also has a very strong case here.

Trey Mangum
Shadow and Act

1. Lionel Boyce (“The Bear”)
2. Ebon Moss-Bachrach (“The Bear”)
3. Tyler James Williams (“Abbott Elementary”)
4. Bowen Yang (“Saturday Night Live”)
5. Paul Rudd (“Only Murders in the Building”)
6. Paul W. Downs (“Hacks”)

My personal bet is on Lionel Boyce, the latest member from Odd Future and its associated subgroups to hit success in their own lane. He and his “The Bear” co-star Ebon Moss-Bachrach are the two to win here, and I think the only other contender who may end up with the win is Tyler James Williams for “Abbott Elementary.”

Matt Roush
TV Guide

1. Ebon Moss-Bachrach (“The Bear”)
2. Paul Rudd (“Only Murders in the Building”)
3. Lionel Boyce (“The Bear”)
4. Tyler James Williams (“Abbott Elementary”)
5. Paul W. Downs (“Hacks”)
6. Bowen Yang (“Saturday Night Live”)

Both Ebon Moss-Bachrach (last year’s winner) and Lionel Boyce saw their characters experience significant growth in “The Bear’s” second season, and each is worthy. But so is Paul Rudd playing against type as “Only Murders’ ” obnoxious victim, the sort of comedy performance you’d expect to see win in a more traditional competition. Glad to see “Hacks” co-creator Paul W. Downs break through.

Glenn Whipp
Los Angeles Times

1. Ebon Moss-Bachrach (“The Bear”)
2. Lionel Boyce (“The Bear”)
3. Tyler James Williams (“Abbott Elementary”)
4. Paul W. Downs (“Hacks”)
5. Paul Rudd (“Only Murders in the Building”)
6. Bowen Yang (“Saturday Night Live”)

Ebon Moss-Bachrach looks like a slam-dunk repeat. I’m willing to hear arguments, but “Forks” — the episode where Moss-Bachrach’s Richie learns the art of service and, in the process, finds peace and happiness — stands as “The Bear’s” finest achievement. Richie delivering the pizza to the table at the end? Don’t start. I’ll cry!

Two law enforcement officers in heavy parkas shine flashlights into an encampment

Limited or anthology series

1. “Baby Reindeer”
2. “True Detective: Night Country”
3. “Fargo”
4. “Ripley”
5. “Lessons in Chemistry”

From the peril in the snow of “Night Country” to unsettling “Reindeer” games, this is the closest race the BuzzMeter tracks.

A single point separates “Baby Reindeer” from “True Detective: Night Country” at the top of the limited series field (Vegas oddsmakers have “Reindeer” far in front and “Detective” well back in the pack). Glenn Whipp says, “Of the series categories, this is the one up for grabs. ‘Baby Reindeer’ … is the most widely seen of the nominated shows, and gets the edge for that alone.”

“ ‘Baby Reindeer’ is the current favorite, even with the $170 million lawsuit pending from the woman who allegedly inspired the character of Martha,” says Kristen Baldwin. “Unpopular opinion: ‘Ripley’ — Steven Zaillian’s exquisite, black-and-white spin on Patricia Highsmith’s wily antihero — is a more creatively successful limited series.”

Each of the nominees gets love from the panel, though after saying “Netflix’s unsettling ‘Baby Reindeer’ is the streaming giant’s best chance for a major series win this year, adding a classic coming-out-of-nowhere jolt to the proceedings,” Matt Roush adds, “I’m sorry that the adventurous ‘Fellow Travelers’ was left out of a category that deserves to be expanded.”

Lorraine Ali
Los Angeles Times

1. “True Detective: Night Country”
2. “Baby Reindeer”
3. “Fargo”
4. “Ripley”
5. “Lessons in Chemistry”

I’m rooting for “True Detective: Night Country” or “Fargo,” two series featuring strong female characters, played by strong female leads — Jodie Foster and Juno Temple, respectively. Both were riveting from start to finish. “Ripley” wowed critics — It was in black and white! — and the creepy stalker tale “Baby Reindeer” took viewers by surprise, even if it didn’t exactly deliver by the final episode. This category is a toss-up.

Kristen Baldwin
Entertainment Weekly

1. “Baby Reindeer”
2. “Ripley”
3. “Fargo”
4. “True Detective: Night Country”
5. “Lessons in Chemistry”

“Baby Reindeer” is the current favorite, even with the $170-million lawsuit pending from the woman who allegedly inspired the character of Martha. Unpopular opinion: “Ripley” — Steven Zaillian’s exquisite, black-and-white spin on Patricia Highsmith’s wily antihero — is a more creatively successful limited series, but I’m sure it won’t go home empty-handed.

Tracy Brown
Los Angeles Times

1. “True Detective: Night Country”
2. “Baby Reindeer”
3. “Fargo”
4. “Ripley”
5. “Lessons in Chemistry”

Netflix has a couple of strong contenders here, especially with “Baby Reindeer” seemingly being the most-watched of all the nominees. But “True Detective: Night Country,” which revolved around solving the case of a mysterious scientist “corpsicle” in Alaska, was my favorite so I’m giving it the edge.

Trey Mangum
Shadow and Act

1. “True Detective: Night Country”
2. “Lessons in Chemistry”
3. “Baby Reindeer”
4. “Fargo”
5. “Ripley”

I’m still not sure if the headline-creating viral success that was “Baby Reindeer” will mean Emmy wins, but it is absolutely a strong possibility. The prestigious return of the “True Detective” series with “Night Country,” as well as Apple TV+’s splashy Emmys showing for “Lessons in Chemistry,” are two that could stand above the Netflix hit.

Matt Roush
TV Guide

1. “Baby Reindeer”
2. “True Detective: Night Country”
3. “Fargo”
4. “Lessons in Chemistry”
5. “Ripley”

Netflix’s unsettling “Baby Reindeer” is the streaming giant’s best chance for a major series win this year, adding a classic coming-out-of-nowhere jolt to the proceedings. Netflix’s stylish “Ripley” is also a strong contender in a field that includes terrific new installments of “Fargo” and “True Detective.” I’m sorry that the adventurous “Fellow Travelers” was left out of a category that deserves to be expanded.

Glenn Whipp
Los Angeles Times

1. “Baby Reindeer”
2. “True Detective: Night Country”
3. “Fargo”
4. “Ripley”
5. “Lessons in Chemistry”

Of the series categories, this is the one up for grabs. “Baby Reindeer,” a nuanced look at a comedian dealing with a stalker and his own past trauma, is the most widely seen of the nominated shows and gets the edge for that, though maybe one of the brand-name anthologies (“True Detective,” “Fargo”) could pull off the upset.

Television movie

1. “Mr. Monk’s Last Case: A Monk Movie”
2. “Quiz Lady”
3. “Red, White and Royal Blue”
4. “Scoop”
5. “Unfrosted”

The television movie category continues to experience a dearth of love from the panel (“If a TV Movie wins an award but no one’s aware the category still exists,” asks Lorraine Ali, eyelids likely heavy with disinterest, “does it really win?”), but it does yield a clear favorite. The latest “Monk” movie is yet another consensus pick, apparently owing to name recognition.

Kristen Baldwin says, “Given that most voters probably haven’t seen any of these movies — and many probably do remember giving Tony Shalhoub [as Monk] a bunch of Emmys — it’s likely that Peacock will have something to celebrate on Emmy night.”

“None of the nominated movies picked up recognition in any other Emmy category,” says Glenn Whipp. “And there are a lot of Emmy categories! It makes you wonder why they keep giving this award in primetime. So maybe ‘Mr. Monk’s Last Case,’ even if nobody really believes it’s Mr. Monk’s last case.”

Tracy Brown says, “I will be rooting for ‘Red, White and Royal Blue’ because who doesn’t love a frothy gay rom-com? (Don’t answer that.)”

Speaking of consensus picks, Jerry Seinfeld’s “Unfrosted,” which somehow got a nomination despite its “rotten” Tomatometer score of 42%, is one of only two nominees in the BuzzMeter to receive every last-place vote in its category. (The other? Let’s just say the panel doesn’t think it poses a “Problem” to the other nominees in the drama series category.)

Lorraine Ali
Los Angeles Times

1. “Mr. Monk’s Last Case: A Monk Movie”
2. “Quiz Lady”
3. “Red, White and Royal Blue”
4. “Scoop”
5. “Unfrosted”

If a TV movie wins an award but no one’s aware the category still exists, does it really win? We will find out Sept. 15. But since I’m forced to pay attention now thanks to BuzzMeter, I’m going with “Mr. Monk’s Last Case: A Monk Movie.” Why? Because this Peacock film does the old series justice while extending the story of the obsessive–compulsive detective, Mr. Monk (Anthony Shalhoub). The mystery of what will win seems pretty easy to solve.

Kristen Baldwin
Entertainment Weekly

1. “Mr. Monk’s Last Case: A Monk Movie”
2. “Scoop”
3. “Quiz Lady”
4. “Red, White and Royal Blue”
5. “Unfrosted”

Not a bad collection of nominees. Given that most voters probably haven’t seen any of these movies — and many probably do remember giving Tony Shalhoub a bunch of Emmys for playing Adrian Monk on the long-running USA series — it’s likely that Peacock will have something to celebrate on Emmy night.

Tracy Brown
Los Angeles Times

1. “Mr. Monk’s Last Case: A Monk Movie”
2. “Red, White and Royal Blue”
3. “Quiz Lady”
4. “Scoop”
5. “Unfrosted”

This category remains the hardest for me to wrap my head around but I feel like the safest bet is to go with Tony Shalhoub and “Mr. Monk.” Maybe it won’t be his last case? That said, I will be rooting for “Red, White and Royal Blue” because who doesn’t love a frothy gay rom-com? (Don’t answer that.)

Trey Mangum
Shadow and Act

1. “Mr. Monk’s Last Case: A Monk Movie”
2. “Red, White and Royal Blue”
3. “Scoop”
4. “Quiz Lady”
5. “Unfrosted”

Hooray for “Red, White & Royal Blue” not only getting a nomination, but I don’t think it would be that wild for it to have a fighting chance at winning here. But for some reason, everything looks optimal for “Mr. Monk’s Last Case: A Monk Movie” to win for Peacock.

Matt Roush
TV Guide

1. “Mr. Monk’s Last Case: A Monk Movie”
2. “Quiz Lady”
3. “Scoop”
4. “Red, White and Royal Blue”
5. “Unfrosted”

Though Tony Shalhoub was unexpectedly passed over in the lead actor category after having won three Emmys for the role, his apparent swan song in “Mr. Monk’s Last Case” is likely to be the default winner in what is traditionally an anemic category. With the exception of Netflix’s “Scoop,” this is an unusually light-leaning field of comedic candidates.

Glenn Whipp
Los Angeles Times

1. “Mr. Monk’s Last Case: A Monk Movie”
2. “Quiz Lady”
3. “Red, White and Royal Blue”
4. “Scoop”
5. “Unfrosted”

None of the nominated movies picked up recognition in any other Emmy category. And there are a lot of Emmy categories! It makes you wonder why they keep giving this award in primetime. But something has to win. Maybe “Mr. Monk’s Last Case,” even if nobody really believes it’s Mr. Monk’s last case.

Lead actress in a limited series or movie

1. Jodie Foster (“True Detective: Night Country”)
2. Juno Temple (“Fargo”)
3. Brie Larson (“Lessons in Chemistry”)
4. Naomi Watts (“Feud: Capote vs. the Swans”)
5. Sofia Vergara (“Griselda”)

This category is the last to foster a consensus pick in this year’s BuzzMeter, with the star of “True Detective: Night Country” a full 10 points in front of second-place Juno Temple (“Fargo”).

Glenn Whipp detects considerable goodwill attached to frontrunner Jodie Foster’s candidacy, “particularly for a role that saw her returning to eerie, atmospheric crime-solving horror” à la her Clarice Starling role in “The Silence of the Lambs.” “Foster has picked up many honors over the years — two Oscars, four Golden Globes, a SAG award, plus career tributes — but never an Emmy. It’s time.”

Kristen Baldwin says, “Not crowning her the winner in this category for her gleeful turn as Ennis, Alaska’s, irascible chief of police would be … a crime.” “Jodie Foster is Jodie Foster, and the latest ‘True Detective’ is the best the anthology series has been in a while, so she’s my pick for this one,” says Tracy Brown, before listing the bona fides of the rest of the packed category (two Oscar winners, a two-time Oscar nominee, two Emmy winners).

“As usual, this is an incredibly competitive field,” says Matt Roush. “Is there a way to split the vote?

Lorraine Ali
Los Angeles Times

1. Jodie Foster (“True Detective: Night Country”)
2. Juno Temple (“Fargo”)
3. Naomi Watts (“Feud: Capote vs. the Swans”)
4. Brie Larson (“Lessons in Chemistry”)
5. Sofia Vergara (“Griselda”)

The sheer talent in this category is overwhelming, starting with Jodie Foster’s masterful portrayal of the emotionally distant detective Danvers in “True Detective: Night Country.” I’ve watched it twice. Then there’s Juno Temple’s spot-on performance as an assassin/fugitive posing as a soccer mom in “Fargo.” And Naomi Watts was a joy to watch as Babe Paley in the FX anthology series about Truman Capote’s falling out with the socialites of Manhattan. The series itself didn’t garner much buzz, but she was gold.

Kristen Baldwin
Entertainment Weekly

1. Jodie Foster (“True Detective: Night Country”)
2. Naomi Watts (“Feud: Capote vs. the Swans”)
3. Juno Temple (“Fargo”)
4. Brie Larson (“Lessons in Chemistry”)
5. Sofia Vergara (“Griselda”)

As a child actress, Jodie Foster did a lot of TV — from “Gunsmoke” to the television adaptation of “Paper Moon” — but “True Detective: Night Country” was her first leading TV role as an adult. Not crowning her the winner in this category for her gleeful turn as Ennis, Alaska’s, irascible chief of police would be… a crime.

Tracy Brown
Los Angeles Times

1. Jodie Foster (“True Detective: Night Country”)
2. Juno Temple (“Fargo”)
3. Brie Larson (“Lessons in Chemistry”)
4. Sofia Vergara (“Griselda”)
5. Naomi Watts (“Feud: Capote vs. the Swans”)

Jodie Foster is Jodie Foster, and the latest “True Detective” is the best the anthology series has been in a while, so she’s my pick for this one. But this is a very competitive category that includes past comedic Emmy winners Juno Temple and Sofia Vergara showcasing their range on their new shows, as well as an Oscar-winner (Brie Larson) and nominee (Naomi Watts).

Trey Mangum
Shadow and Act

1. Jodie Foster (“True Detective: Night Country”)
2. Brie Larson (“Lessons in Chemistry”)
3. Sofia Vergara (“Griselda”)
4. Naomi Watts (Feud: Capote vs. the Swans”)
5. Juno Temple (“Fargo”)

Prior to this year, Jodie Foster had received Emmy nominations only for her work as a producer and director, but now, she has one for acting. Similarly, Brie Larson also has an Emmy as a producer, and she’s in second position right behind Foster in the likelihood of getting her first Emmy as an actress.

Matt Roush
TV Guide

1. Jodie Foster (“True Detective: Night Country”)
2. Juno Temple (“Fargo”)
3. Brie Larson (“Lessons in Chemistry”)
4. Naomi Watts (“Feud: Capote vs. the Swans”)
5. Sofia Vergara (“Griselda”)

As usual, this is an incredibly competitive field. Jodie Foster’s rugged turn as a police chief navigating the Arctic darkness in “True Detective: Night Country” seems to have an edge over Juno Temple’s wonderfully resilient “Fargo” heroine and Brie Larson’s admirably restrained performance as “Lessons in Chemistry’s” pioneering TV chef. Is there a way to split the vote?

Glenn Whipp
Los Angeles Times

1. Jodie Foster (“True Detective: Night Country”)
2. Juno Temple (“Fargo”)
3. Brie Larson (“Lessons in Chemistry”)
4. Naomi Watts (“Feud: Capote vs. the Swans”)
5. Sofia Vergara (“Griselda”)

All the goodwill Jodie Foster earned while campaigning for her Oscar-nominated turn in “Nyad” should carry over here, particularly for a role that saw her returning to eerie, atmospheric crime-solving horror. Foster has picked up many honors over the years — two Oscars, four Golden Globes, a SAG award, plus career tributes — but never an acting Emmy. It’s time.

Lead actor in a limited series or movie

1. (tie) Andrew Scott (“Ripley”)
2. (tie) Matt Bomer (“Fellow Travelers”)
2. (tie) Richard Gadd (“Baby Reindeer”)
2. (tie) Jon Hamm (“Fargo”)
5. Tom Hollander (“Feud: Capote vs. the Swans”)

Trey Mangum calls this “probably one of the tightest races this year,” and he’s right — except at the top, where his pick of Andrew Scott (“Ripley”) enjoys a comfortable lead. After Scott, there’s a three-way tie for second with only one point less for fifth place (Tom Hollander of “Feud”). Each of the nominees gets lavish praise from the panelists.

“I’m glad Matt Bomer is getting recognized for some career-best work,” says Tracy Brown.

“Richard Gadd feels like he should be the favorite for all the raw emotion on display in ‘Baby Reindeer,’ ” says Glenn Whipp.

“Out of Jon Hamm’s two nominations, I think this category is the one he has the best chance of winning,” says Mangum.

“Tom Hollander was excellent as Truman Capote,” says Kristen Baldwin.

Lorraine Ali
Los Angeles Times

1. Andrew Scott (“Ripley”)
2. Jon Hamm (“Fargo”)
3. Tom Hollander (“Feud: Capote vs. the Swans”)
4. Matt Bomer (“Fellow Travelers”)
5. Richard Gadd (“Baby Reindeer”)

My hope is the academy recognizes Matt Bomer for his compelling performance in the Showtime series “Fellow Travelers” about a decades-long romance between two men that stretches from the height of the 1950s McCarthy era and through the 1980s AIDS crisis. More likely: Andrew Scott as the title con artist in “Ripley.” Even though I was not a fan of the Netflix series, Scott’s performance was intoxicating. Less likely: Richard Gadd as stalking victim in “Baby Reindeer” and John Hamm as a violent, religious zealot in “Fargo.”

Kristen Baldwin
Entertainment Weekly

1. Andrew Scott (“Ripley”)
2. Tom Hollander (“Feud: Capote vs. the Swans”)
3. Richard Gadd (“Baby Reindeer”)
4. Jon Hamm (“Fargo”)
5. Matt Bomer (“Fellow Travelers”)

“Baby Reindeer” is a favorite to win for limited series, so voters will reward “Ripley” by honoring its dashing star here. Maybe FX will do a huge push to remind people that Tom Hollander was excellent as Truman Capote in “Feud: Capote vs. the Swans,” but he’s still likely to come up short.

Tracy Brown
Los Angeles Times

1. Andrew Scott (“Ripley”)
2. Matt Bomer (“Fellow Travelers”)
3. Jon Hamm (“Fargo”)
4. Tom Hollander (“Feud: Capote vs. the Swans”)
5. Richard Gadd (“Baby Reindeer”)

Andrew Scott as the eponymous creepy con man of “Ripley” is the presumed frontrunner here, though Jon Hamm makes a strong case with his villainous turn in “Fargo.” “Fellow Travelers” unfortunately didn’t make it into the crowded limited series race but I’m glad Matt Bomer is getting recognized for some career-best work portraying a closeted bureaucrat.

Trey Mangum
Shadow and Act

1. Matt Bomer (“Fellow Travelers”)
2. Jon Hamm (“Fargo”)
3. Andrew Scott (“Ripley”)
4. Richard Gadd (“Baby Reindeer”)
5. Tom Hollander (“Feud: Capote vs. the Swans”)

Andrew Scott in Netflix’s “Ripley” has garnered a ton of buzz in this race, which is probably one of the tightest this year. My hope is that Matt Bomer in “Fellow Travelers” has not been forgotten. And out of Jon Hamm’s two nominations, I think this category is the one he has the best chance of winning.

Matt Roush
TV Guide

1. Richard Gadd (“Baby Reindeer”)
2. Andrew Scott (“Ripley”)

3. Matt Bomer (“Fellow Travelers”)
4. Tom Hollander (“Feud: Capote vs. the Swans”)
5. Jon Hamm (“Fargo”)

There were at least as many worthy contenders (Ewan McGregor, Jeff Daniels, Michael Douglas, to name a prominent few) as those who deservedly made the cut. Richard Gadd in “Baby Reindeer” feels like a once-in-a-lifetime breakthrough, but Matt Bomer’s career-high work as a closeted D.C. operator in “Fellow Travelers,” Andrew Scott’s seductive “Ripley” and Tom Hollander’s uncanny channeling of “Feud’s” Truman Capote are hard to ignore.

Glenn Whipp
Los Angeles Times

1. Andrew Scott (“Ripley”)
2. Richard Gadd (“Baby Reindeer”)
3. Tom Hollander (“Feud: Capote vs. the Swans”)
4. Jon Hamm (“Fargo”)
5. Matt Bomer (“Fellow Travelers”)

Richard Gadd feels like he should be the favorite for all the raw emotion on display in “Baby Reindeer.” But he’s nominated as a writer and producer too, maybe opening the door for Andrew Scott’s masterful antihero on “Ripley.”